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2024-12-13 23:54:49

Friends who have been paying attention to Junge know that Junge mentioned in his article last Friday that the key force driving the market to break through that day was the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF, which was the exclusive market entry channel for the national team. It can be seen that the national team entered the stadium ahead of schedule on the eve of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party.


First, compared with any other funds, the national team is more familiar with the macro-adjustment strategy of the top level, and enters the market accurately before the Politburo meeting, mostly knowing that there will be great benefits at the meeting. Therefore, entering the venue last Friday can avoid chasing after the meeting, which has a greater cost advantage!Let's take a look at the trends of insurance, brokerage and real estate yesterday. These three directions were the main force that drove the market to break through last Friday. Yesterday, all three sectors opened higher and went lower. Today, brokers and real estate quickly stopped falling, keeping the market from falling further. So who's on the pressure plate, you don't have to tell me.In addition, there is a group of people who were the main force of yesterday's pressure plate, that is, retail investors who suffered a big loss on October 8. This part of the investors have been convinced that yesterday's sharp opening will inevitably lead to a high opening and a low going, so they were selling at the opening yesterday. Some hesitant investors may have missed the high-selling opportunity opened yesterday, but they saw the unilateral decline of the market in intraday trading, which is replicating the trend of October 8. Worried that there will be a sharp drop in the next few days, I began to turn around and lighten my position.


Let's take a look at today's market. The full-day amplitude of the market is only 20 points, and it can't break through 3440 up. If it turns green down, it will be quickly pulled red. This narrow fluctuation of extremely low space is either the whole market is extremely inactive or controlled by a pair of invisible hands. This is almost the same as the trend during the Third Plenary Session of the Twentieth Central Committee in mid-July this year!It can be seen that the power of shorting yesterday mainly comes from two aspects. In addition, the willingness of the main institutions to undertake is not strong, which eventually forms a situation in which the whole market is high and low.Then why is this trend happening? Many investors may think that yesterday's A shares opened higher and went lower under the favorable stimulus of the Politburo meeting, which is very similar to last year's 828 market and the trend on October 8 this year. But in your brother's view, these three false yin lines are just similar in shape, but the cores are not the same.

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